Treasure Hunters drop rates
These are the official per-chest odds for the Treasure Hunters mini season, as published in Epic Games' statement on treasure drop rates (opens in a new tab). They apply to every chest opened in a normal match. Except for Gizmos, the same treasure cannot drop twice. Rates valid from 2026-11-01.
Official odds per chest
| Treasure | Odds per chest | Treasure Hour | Announced hour |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly Gold Outfit | 1 in 1,562,500 | 7.5x | 10x |
| Pirate Shop Access | 1 in 137,500 | 1.5x | 2x |
| Weekly Vehicle & Decal | 1 in 7,813 | 10x | 10x |
| Weekly Pickaxe or Backbling | 1 in 568 | none published | none published |
| Weekly Jam Track | 1 in 391 | none published | none published |
| Weekly Loading Screen | 1 in 272 | none published | none published |
| Gizmo (any) | 1 in 127 | none published | none published |
The announced hour is the announced 9-11 pm ET Treasure Hour. Epic has said future Treasure Hours may use higher rates.
How many chests and days does that take?
For a typical pattern of 8 chests per match and 5 matches a day (40 chests a day), without Treasure Hours:
| Treasure | Expected chests | Median chests | Expected time | Chance in 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly Gold Outfit | 1,562,500 | 1,083,043 | 107 years | 0.08% |
| Pirate Shop Access | 137,500 | 95,308 | 9.4 years | 0.87% |
| Weekly Vehicle & Decal | 7,813 | 5,416 | 195 days | 14.2% |
| Weekly Pickaxe or Backbling | 568 | 394 | 14 days | 87.9% |
| Weekly Jam Track | 391 | 271 | 10 days | 95.4% |
| Weekly Loading Screen | 272 | 189 | 7 days | 98.8% |
| Gizmo (any) | 127 | 88 | 3 days | >99.9% |
Try your own pattern in the simulator.
The math in plain words
- Odds of 1 in N mean N chests on average. With a chance p per chest, the average number of chests until the first drop is 1 divided by p. For Pirate Shop Access that is 137,500 chests.
- Half of all players are luckier than the median. The median is about 0.69 times the average (the natural logarithm of 2). For Pirate Shop Access, half of all players find it within about 95,300 chests.
- Your chance after n chests is 1 - (1 - p)^n. After 1,200 chests (30 days at 40 a day) the chance for Pirate Shop Access is about 0.87 percent.
- Treasure Hours multiply p. If a share f of your chests is opened during Treasure Hours with multiplier m, your average chance per chest is p times ((1 - f) + f times m).
- No chest is ever due. Each chest is a fresh roll. Bad luck so far does not raise the chance of the next chest.
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